Who will win the 2023 Rugby World Cup? This algorithm uses 10,000 simulations to rank the contenders
- Written by Niven Winchester, Professor of Economics, Auckland University of Technology
Despite New Zealand’s record loss to South Africa in August, All Blacks fans can take heart from statistical modelling that has them as favourites to win the 2023 Rugby World Cup (RWC).
According to Rugby Vision, a well-tested algorithm I developed to predict outcomes for major rugby competitions, New Zealand has a 33.5% chance of winning...

















