While the Voice has a large poll lead now, history of past referendums indicates it may struggle
- Written by: Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Aaron Bunch/AAPSupport for the Indigenous Voice to Parliament has dropped since the first polls that asked about it in late 2022. Analyst Kevin Bonham has plotted all the poll results, and the average Voice support is down from 65% in August 2022 to 57% now.
Last week’s Morgan (a “yes” lead of just 54-46) was particularly...
