We rely on expert predictions to guide conservation. But even experts have biases and blind spots
- Written by: Andrew Bennett, Adjunct Professor in Ecology, La Trobe University
ShutterstockWhen faced with uncertainty, we often look for predictions by experts: from election result forecasts, to the likely outcomes of medical treatment. In nature conservation, we turn to expert opinion to assess extinction risk, or predict the long-term responses of plant species to fire management.
But how reliable are these predictions?...
